No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Polymarket Trader
RationalMyth
0x9b6ce54e2ac92c2dd6aeea144d43e67f882d08bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$18.26
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
UMKC position
Oral Roberts vs. UMKC
Ends Mar 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
UMKC position
Oral Roberts vs. UMKC
Ends Mar 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Arizona State position
Arizona State vs. Arizona
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Wisconsin position
Wisconsin vs. Minnesota
Ends Mar 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Coastal Carolina position
Coastal Carolina vs. Southern Mississippi
Ends Mar 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes 16.3% 430 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.9% 284 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89% 284 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.4% 303 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.2% 303 shares
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.7% 282 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.5% 295 shares
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 1.3% 1,091 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 84.9% 361 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 85.1% 361 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 1.2% 1,036 shares
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 94.4% 85 shares