Polymarket Trader

AnnabelleNoir

0x9b6fce29d890c77230ad4fdc2b85eae29d250e5f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $717.93
Realized PnL: $61.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $717.93
Potential payout: $5.32K
Potential profit: $4.6K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $121.56

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$627.99

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$346.4

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $562.28
Potential profit: $562.28
User PnL: -$17.24

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$30

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471.26
Potential profit: $471.26
User PnL: -$158.18

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$190

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.37K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.83K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.16K

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $1.8K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $895.98

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $750

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $688.77

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630

No position

Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.95

Yes position

Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.01

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399

Yes position

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.73

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.54

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $300.47

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $292.36

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $281.77

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Yes 1.1% 3,000 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 43% 100 shares
Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

Yes 0.5% 1,201.04 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 26% 100 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 2,200 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

OpenAI 23% 49.65 shares
Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Yes 15% 40.34 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 2,400.61 shares
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes 1.2% 150 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 1.6% 200 shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.9% 1,200 shares
Discord IPO before 2027?

Yes 58.3% 80.92 shares