No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $103.43
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $103.43
Polymarket Trader
0x9b89E55522DFB598C2d8c7dce7E216221dEF99C9-1769467185131
0x9b89e55522dfb598c2d8c7dce7e216221def99c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.46K
- Realized PnL
- $5.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $75.27
Yes position
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $897.01
- Potential profit
- $897.01
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $735
- Potential profit
- $735
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $271.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $28.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$18.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.36
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.33
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.35
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.67
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.82
No position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.1
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.82
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.17
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.33
Yes position
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.52
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.75
Yes position
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes 20.3% 4,930.56 shares
- Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes 21% 476.19 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?Yes 99.8% 1,200 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?Yes 99.8% 2,214.42 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?Yes 86% 600 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?Yes 85.7% 600 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?Yes 85.9% 1,173 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?Yes 82.5% 814.42 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes 10% 300 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No 83% 1,204.82 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 92.6% 5,127 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 69.3% 5,127 shares