Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 28, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.08
- Potential profit
- $92.08
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x9b8b7866c80CE286D4905511B22EAB881e38E4D6-1781186560545
0x9b8b7866c80ce286d4905511b22eab881e38e4d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.95
- Realized PnL
- -$2.79
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.9
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- -$34.9
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.22
- Potential profit
- $49.22
- User PnL
- -$18.5
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.18
- Potential profit
- $41.18
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $40.41
- Potential payout
- $40.69
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits be between 650.0k and 700.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $38.61
- Potential profit
- $38.59
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $27.57
- Potential profit
- $27.56
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.99
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $14.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $10.13
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$5.13
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $12.37
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $5.18
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $2.37
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.07
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 55% 6.36 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No 57% 17.54 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 89% 11.24 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 97.9% 20.43 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 35% 42.86 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be between 650.0k and 700.0k on June 30?Yes 13% 38.61 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30?Yes 54.4% 27.57 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 80% 25 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?No 70% 28.57 shares
- Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30?No 98.3% 40.69 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 76% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 14% 50 shares