Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$203.02
Polymarket Trader
samsmash
0x9b95ffa9cbdd5a53fdcff8193cdfe28da995a426
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $627.39
- Realized PnL
- $876.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $61.94
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$20.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $141.42
- Potential payout
- $785.64
- Potential profit
- $644.22
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.8%
- Current value
- $61.85
- Potential payout
- $485.12
- Potential profit
- $423.27
- Multiplier
- 7.84x
- User PnL
- -$25.15
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $33.3
- Potential payout
- $441.1
- Potential profit
- $407.8
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$19.94
Yes position
UK Recession in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $146.32
- Potential payout
- $436.77
- Potential profit
- $290.45
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$7.43
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $28.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $271.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $89.5
- Potential payout
- $139.84
- Potential profit
- $50.34
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $38.67
- Potential payout
- $92.07
- Potential profit
- $53.4
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$9.21
Yes position
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $54.9
- Potential profit
- $52.01
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.58
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.69
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.97
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.72
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $45.33
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.35
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $35.66
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.15
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.61
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.74
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.86
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.2
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.86
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.32
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.51
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.93
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.6% 54.46 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.7% 450 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 18.2% 248.09 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 39.7% 206.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 10.6% 40.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 10.7% 173.08 shares
- Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes 40% 81.63 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.2% 430.34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 11.1% 95.21 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No 79% 142.37 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 77.7% 49.34 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 89.4% 65.5 shares