No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.09
- Potential profit
- $86.09
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
Jersola
0x9b97b5936bbab2bea8debc4f25ddd9b7756b9211
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.15
- Realized PnL
- $1.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.27
- Potential profit
- $69.27
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.22
- Potential profit
- $61.22
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $49.15
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $24.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $47
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,900-$7,000 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.5
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.38
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.82
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.49
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?No 50% 50 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5?Down 72% 34.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?Yes 42% 23.81 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?Down 63% 15.87 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?No 65% 30.77 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?No 49% 20.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?Yes 20.9% 47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?No 74% 40.54 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?No 51% 39.22 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?Down 34% 29.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?Yes 68.3% 14.64 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?No 64% 46.88 shares