Polymarket Trader

mumps

0x9bac9cc44f57fbd31a02f4fe08545ccdc8958684

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $55.13K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.68K
Potential profit: $155.68K
User PnL: -$4.81K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.03K
Potential profit: $65.03K
User PnL: -$274.15

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $55.13K
Potential payout: $55.21K
Potential profit: $82.81
User PnL: $303.64

Yes position

Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.29K
Potential profit: $13.29K
User PnL: -$678.67

Yes position

Will egg prices be more than $6.25 in April?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.46K
Potential profit: $12.46K
User PnL: -$327.18

Yes position

Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in April?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.09K
Potential profit: $10.09K
User PnL: -$974.9

No position

Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$398.68

Yes position

Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$299.99

Yes position

Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.69K
Potential profit: $5.69K
User PnL: -$549.88

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.49K
Potential profit: $5.49K
User PnL: -$515.83

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.91K
User PnL: -$706.21

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.89K
Potential profit: $3.89K
User PnL: -$7.77

Yes position

Will 'Terrifier 3' gross less than $16m opening weekend?

Ends Oct 14, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $3.65K
User PnL: -$285.49

No position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump before June?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $2.07K
User PnL: -$601.45

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$12.99

Yes position

Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Rupert Murdoch be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

US military intervention by Oct 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$89.05

No position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $840.66
Potential profit: $840.66
User PnL: -$42.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.3% 55,207.95 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Yes 86% 950 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Yes 36.5% 11,045.53 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?

Yes 65.9% 3,453.38 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Yes 78.6% 3,719.86 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 35,620.08 shares
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Yes 0.3% 570.15 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 200 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Yes 99.7% 5,098.99 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Yes 98% 500 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Yes 97.8% 922.38 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Yes 98.6% 594.66 shares