Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $692.71
- Potential payout
- $696.54
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- User PnL
- $60.16
Polymarket Trader
ranchenno
0x9badd898022314f2a1052b60a1979131caf0201a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $935.96
- Realized PnL
- $18.81
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.49
- Potential profit
- $113.49
- User PnL
- -$93
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $45.42
- Potential payout
- $63.52
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $43.25
- Potential payout
- $63.14
- Potential profit
- $19.89
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $44.04
- Potential payout
- $60.33
- Potential profit
- $16.29
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $41.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $40.89
- Potential payout
- $48.96
- Potential profit
- $8.08
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $27.91
- Potential payout
- $37.97
- Potential profit
- $10.06
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.48
- Potential profit
- $10.48
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.48
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.68
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $4.28
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 96% 42 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 96% 200 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 93.6% 394.9 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 54% 14.9 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 57.6% 35.07 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 67% 9.61 shares
- Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 73% 6.85 shares
- Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 77% 6.49 shares
- Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 71% 7.04 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 49% 1,100 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 89% 43.95 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Yes 90% 5.55 shares