No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $22.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $48.44
Polymarket Trader
453534534
0x9bbc594b8968303e430ea60f647445dd04d51a98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.36K
- Realized PnL
- $875.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $205.17
- Potential payout
- $209.89
- Potential profit
- $4.72
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $13.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$164.2
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.65
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$78.65
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
Will Trump say "President Xi" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will Doran (Choi Hyeon-joon) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Faker (Lee Sang-hyeok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.67
No position
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.77
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.66
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.93
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.56
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.09
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.44
No position
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.9
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.17
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.55
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the America Business Forum on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.62
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 91.7% 100 shares
- Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes 10.3% 51.78 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No 97.7% 265.22 shares
- Will Trump say "Credit" during remarks on January 28?Yes 25.4% 71.15 shares
- Will Trump say "Trump" 6+ times during remarks on January 28?Yes 80% 52 shares
- Will Trump say "Credit" during remarks on January 28?Yes 75% 71.15 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 94% 1,181.47 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes 2% 51.78 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?No 56% 50 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?No 80% 105.45 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes 93% 22.65 shares