Polymarket Trader

0x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-1771508511872

0x9bbd88140ccba06100da00476257d9cffce56e72

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.71K
Realized PnL: $39.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $4.76K
Potential payout: $4.91K
Potential profit: $144.72
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.11K

Yes position

Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $317.17
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 5.35x
User PnL: -$103.59

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $459.01
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $670.12

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $341.61
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$131.2

Yes position

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $127.17
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: -$142.83

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $649.75
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $649.75
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $297.02

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $77.61
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $475.65

No position

Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $152.5
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $552.96

No position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $134.4
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $494.34

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $5.49
User PnL: $732.2

Yes position

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $19.71
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$259.56

Yes position

Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $63.53
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $995.3
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$197.96

Yes position

Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $16.39
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$285.3

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $825.21
Potential payout: $988.28
Potential profit: $163.07
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $525.22

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $840.28
Potential profit: $838.18
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$189.89

No position

Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $752.95
Potential payout: $822.9
Potential profit: $69.95
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $347.21

Yes position

Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $18.99
Potential payout: $807.94
Potential profit: $788.95
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$110.28

No position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $699.63
Potential payout: $725
Potential profit: $25.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $339.63

Yes position

Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $10.6
Potential payout: $683.9
Potential profit: $673.3
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$189.6

Yes position

Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $25.57
Potential payout: $681.78
Potential profit: $656.21
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$164.03

Yes position

Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $657.51
Potential profit: $651.92
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$153.91

Yes position

Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $592.4
Potential profit: $590.92
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$173.1

No position

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $510.15
Potential payout: $586.72
Potential profit: $76.57
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $213.77

Yes position

Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $57.14
Potential payout: $571.42
Potential profit: $514.28
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$62.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62K

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51K

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83K

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

Yes position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89K

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

No position

Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $963.17

Yes position

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $960.44

No position

Epstein suicide note released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $924.81

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $913.56

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $905.2

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $842.14

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $784.34

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $760.84

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $753.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?

Yes 29% 5 shares
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?

Yes 21% 500 shares
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?

Yes 28% 140 shares
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 85.6% 18.52 shares
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 83.3% 135.74 shares
Will Lee Jung-hyun win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?

No 75.9% 153.39 shares
Will Lee Jung-hyun win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?

No 71.9% 5 shares
Will Lee Jung-hyun win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?

No 72.5% 18.07 shares
Will Min Hyung-bae win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?

Yes 50% 5 shares
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?

Yes 35.4% 46.6 shares
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?

Yes 16% 217 shares
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?

No 77% 5 shares