Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $463.18
- Potential payout
- $805.53
- Potential profit
- $342.35
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$213.47
Polymarket Trader
MyArsenal
0x9bc341294d6b996988fe747aa327f69ffbdaaca4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $498.72
- Realized PnL
- $2.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $15.11
- Potential payout
- $72.46
- Potential profit
- $57.36
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $10.11
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $20.43
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Kings position
Kings vs. Lightning
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.18
Procházka position
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.43
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Avalanche position
Panthers vs. Avalanche
Ends Jan 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Lightning position
Lightning vs. Red Wings
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Dvalishvili position
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagen
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
Bruins position
Sharks vs. Bruins
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Mavericks position
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will Berachain launch a token in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kings vs. LightningKings 33% 650 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 34% 13.51 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 67% 15.38 shares
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)OG 41% 12.2 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 60% 15.62 shares
- Lightning vs. Red WingsLightning 55% 10 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes 61% 8.19 shares
- Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No 74% 1,016.49 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No 85% 9.14 shares
- Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes 44% 3.96 shares
- 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No 72% 13.89 shares
- Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No 57% 96.49 shares