Polymarket Trader

NebuchadnezzarII

0x9bc9ed8dd0c1e5d8b07deb095128624418549791

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.45
Realized PnL: $16.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $6.52
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $5.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.26
Potential profit: $4.26
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

No position

Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Wolves win on 2024-10-20?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will West Ham win on 2025-02-03?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yankees position

Yankees vs. Guardians Series Winner

Ends Oct 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Jazz

Ends Mar 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Milton make landfall as a category 5?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Ukraine strike on Moscow before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Over position

Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5

Over 92% 6.51 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5

Over 91% 3.3 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 76% 2.63 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5

Over 92% 5.43 shares
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5

Over 83% 7.04 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 94% 4.26 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

No 84% 3.57 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5

Over 85% 2.35 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 86.5% 1.16 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 95% 5.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

No 94% 4.3 shares
Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

No 93.5% 3.24 shares