Polymarket Trader

rooivalk

0x9bcada74fbcaa331afecdf7e861fbc9532ecca1f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $293.14K
Realized PnL: $148.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.1%
Current value: $98.41K
Potential payout: $258.65K
Potential profit: $160.23K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$30.91K

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $160.23K
Potential payout: $258.65K
Potential profit: $98.41K
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $30.91K

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $9.54K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $30.46K
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: -$5.52K

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $20.36K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $4.64K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.18K

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.57K
Potential payout: $23.43K
Potential profit: $18.86K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$585.84

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $24.9
Potential payout: $34.82
Potential profit: $9.92
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.49K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.62K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.86K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.33K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.61K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31K

No position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05K

No position

Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41K

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.2%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $5.02K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59K

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $951.34

No position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $831.42

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $750

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $705.32

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.62

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 72% 34.82 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 36% 5,276.1 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 91% 5,000 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 97.5% 33,248.46 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 93% 5,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 75% 1,000 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 93% 1,205 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.8% 100,000 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 98.7% 11,685.06 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 98.4% 43,965.77 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7% 11,482.96 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 98.1% 26,807.84 shares