Polymarket Trader

sylv13

0x9bccc0b7c297b218fd854b28cf5ec290d01e39eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.92K
Realized PnL: $6.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21K
Potential profit: $21K
User PnL: -$17.36K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $11.1K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$450.21

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$9.1K

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $62.58
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $8.28K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.44K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $206.34
Potential payout: $4.54K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$79.36

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.59K
User PnL: -$1.98K

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $104.72
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.36K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$462

No position

Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$970

Yes position

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $998.3
Potential profit: $995.8
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$20.43

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $46.35
Potential payout: $996.7
Potential profit: $950.35
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $11.46

No position

StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $905.76
Potential payout: $982.92
Potential profit: $77.16
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $40.79

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $24.36
Potential payout: $435
Potential profit: $410.64
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$271.44

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.4
Potential profit: $248.4
User PnL: -$11.67

No position

Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $899.13

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $563.05

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $549.1

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530.01

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.91

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.4

Yes position

Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116

Yes position

Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.01

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.08

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.37

Yes position

Will Sinners be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.86

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.32

Yes position

Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.34

Yes position

Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.39

No position

Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.31

Yes position

Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

No position

Will Martine Vassal win the Marseille mayor election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.43

Yes position

Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.06

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.93

Yes position

Will Netflix say "Stranger Things" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.55

No position

Will Park Chan-wook be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

No 98.1% 6,199.93 shares
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

No 96.9% 84.42 shares
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 99.9% 24,500 shares
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 99.5% 1,019.73 shares
Will Benicio Del Toro be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 99.8% 2,041.71 shares
Will Stellan Skarsgård be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 99.6% 2,719.72 shares
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 99.8% 250 shares
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 99.8% 947 shares
Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 99.9% 3,850 shares
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 99% 1,232.31 shares
Will Johnson & Johnson say "Ottava" during earnings call?

Yes 99.9% 4,674.23 shares
Will Johnson & Johnson say "Rybrevant" during earnings call?

Yes 99.9% 874.62 shares