No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $3
Polymarket Trader
Jon-Snow-
0x9bd74f5f970fe3d3c5e747fabcdc025fa47796d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.54
- Realized PnL
- $1.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.25
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Y
Yes position
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $10.53
- Potential payout
- $30.54
- Potential profit
- $20.01
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
N
No position
Will Speed say "Wave" on stream?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Y
Yes position
Will Nico Paz win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.72
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Y
Yes position
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $11.82
- Potential payout
- $19.7
- Potential profit
- $7.88
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $17.57
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $6.73
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $2.67
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.79
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $202.5
Yes position
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.73
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.29
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.53
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.6
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.31
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.55
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.6
Yes position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.64
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.46
No position
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.72
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.47
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.34
Yes position
DC Airport Ground Stop lifted today?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.3
No position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.9
No position
Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion intentional?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.18
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.71
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.48
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.15
No position
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $43.14
Yes position
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.13
No position
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Speed say "Wave" on stream?No 27% 20 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?No 70% 20 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 30.01 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 38.8% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 71% 82.17 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 52.3% 57.83 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 46% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 40% 16.67 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 42.9% 140 shares
- Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?Yes 37% 30.54 shares
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Yes 92.2% 8.46 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 15% 8.49 shares