No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $84.58K
- Potential payout
- $84.79K
- Potential profit
- $211.98
- User PnL
- $3.84K
Polymarket Trader
Derbob
0x9bdb403cb4a439884ccad4b0e52b5cf7bb8c73d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.03K
- Realized PnL
- $29.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $5.11K
- Potential payout
- $12.32K
- Potential profit
- $7.21K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $970.6
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $6.25K
- Potential payout
- $7.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $184.85
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $4.08K
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $720.67
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $454.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.49K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71K
No position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $895.03
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.27
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.91
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.94
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.89
No position
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.03
No position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.18
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.23
No position
Ukraine election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.33
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.21
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.4
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.82
Yes position
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96% 51,972.97 shares
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayNo 82% 7,393.95 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 94% 32,820.64 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97.1% 30,535.2 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97% 316.2 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 72% 41,030.28 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 72% 14,926.81 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 75% 4,930.1 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 70% 13,442.86 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 68% 2,862.15 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 68% 884.81 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 68% 947.81 shares