No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.67K
- Potential profit
- $34.67K
- User PnL
- -$1.64K
Polymarket Trader
donglai66
@donglai6666
0x9bdb831c23e1fc7d5145d837c1462b61970ea90d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $29.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.44K
- Potential profit
- $16.44K
- User PnL
- -$65.78
No position
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.35K
- Potential profit
- $11.35K
- User PnL
- -$258.74
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.23K
- Potential profit
- $11.23K
- User PnL
- -$50.49
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $11.11K
- User PnL
- -$11.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.78K
- Potential profit
- $10.78K
- User PnL
- -$10.78
Yes position
Will October 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.62K
- Potential profit
- $10.62K
- User PnL
- -$51.24
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.48K
- Potential profit
- $9.48K
- User PnL
- -$170.38
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.43K
- Potential profit
- $9.43K
- User PnL
- -$13.49
No position
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.1K
- Potential profit
- $9.1K
- User PnL
- -$40.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$10.96
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.83K
- Potential profit
- $6.83K
- User PnL
- -$211.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.82K
- Potential profit
- $6.82K
- User PnL
- -$963.25
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.79K
- Potential profit
- $6.79K
- User PnL
- -$108.88
No position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.72K
- Potential profit
- $6.72K
- User PnL
- -$147.03
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$112.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.45K
- Potential profit
- $6.45K
- User PnL
- -$685.46
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 28?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.84K
- Potential profit
- $5.84K
- User PnL
- -$12.76
No position
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$323.3
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$98.24
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.29K
- Potential profit
- $5.29K
- User PnL
- -$191.58
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.22K
- Potential profit
- $5.22K
- User PnL
- -$193.21
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 15?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will October 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- User PnL
- -$32.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4PM ET
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $4.35K
- User PnL
- -$383.76
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in October 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.18K
- Potential profit
- $4.18K
- User PnL
- -$9.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.93K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- User PnL
- -$103.96
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.88K
- Potential profit
- $3.88K
- User PnL
- -$705.32
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.82K
- Potential profit
- $3.82K
- User PnL
- -$443.1
Yes position
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- User PnL
- -$139.49
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.66K
- Potential profit
- $3.66K
- User PnL
- -$260.11
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4AM ET
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- User PnL
- -$65.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.55K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- User PnL
- -$11.32
Yes position
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- User PnL
- -$493.01
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- User PnL
- -$62.95
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.29K
- User PnL
- -$250.04
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- User PnL
- -$64.92
Yes position
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.21K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- User PnL
- -$243.78
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- User PnL
- -$151.51
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- User PnL
- -$51.25
Yes position
Will Jasper win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Kevin Pollak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Frank Brannan win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will 3 Coin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will "Nick Wright" win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$18.28
No position
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- User PnL
- -$115.5
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- User PnL
- -$89.48
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- User PnL
- -$622.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12K
Wisconsin Badgers position
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Cal State Fullerton Titans position
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. California-San Diego Tritons
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $922.72
N
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $860.36
Kings position
Rockets vs. Kings
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $824.77
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Cavaliers
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $809.02
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $769.83
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $741.61
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. 76ers
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $711.41
No position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $703.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $702.84
North Alabama Lions position
North Alabama Lions vs. San Francisco Dons
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $661.11
Missouri Tigers position
Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.64
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $112K on August 25 at 4PM ET?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.22
Kings position
Lakers vs. Kings
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $591.43
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Warriors
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.63
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $4,200 October 6-12?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525
Texas Longhorns position
Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.97
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $519.87
Suns position
Thunder vs. Suns
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $498.15
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $4,100 October 6-12?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.32
UC Davis Aggies position
UC Davis Aggies vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462
Nets position
Nets vs. Celtics
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.6
Canisius Golden Griffins position
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Manhattan Jaspers
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.61
UIC Flames position
UIC Flames vs. Illinois State Redbirds
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.4
Lina Gjorcheska position
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Lina Gjorcheska
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.65
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.09
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.04
Hornets position
Raptors vs. Hornets
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.35
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 9?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.66
Dane Sweeny position
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Darwin Blanch
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.45
Central Michigan Chippewas position
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewas
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.38
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Thunder
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.59
Kings position
Timberwolves vs. Kings
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.07
Clippers position
Rockets vs. Clippers
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.4
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.05
Heat position
Thunder vs. Heat
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.59
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 7?
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.04
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.07
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 7AM ET
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.23
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Bucks
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.32
Musetti position
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaur
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.5
Holy Cross Crusaders position
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. American Eagles
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9AM ET
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.8
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Warriors
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.13
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.71
Mavericks position
Mavericks vs. Clippers
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 0.4% 850 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 14.9% 16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 6.9% 752.27 shares
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Veronika PodrezVeronika Podrez 15% 250 shares
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Caroline Werner vs Alina CharaevaCaroline Werner 49% 81.18 shares
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Mai HontamaMai Hontama 5.7% 171.64 shares
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Henry SearleHenry Searle 11% 370 shares
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Kyrian JacquetAndrea Guerrieri 20% 400 shares
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Matej DodigMatej Dodig 22% 450 shares
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Mai HontamaMai Hontama 12.1% 636.52 shares
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Lina GjorcheskaLina Gjorcheska 80% 100 shares
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Lucia BronzettiJustina Mikulskyte 6% 349 shares