0x9bE5B67BA060e4c34C7d21620bcE2d31eF75985E-1757442949835

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $187.02
Potential payout: $213.73
Potential profit: $26.72
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $43.97

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $189.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$157.18

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $59.22
Potential payout: $126
Potential profit: $66.78
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$41.24

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $119.94
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $8.46

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $110.2
Potential payout: $111.99
Potential profit: $1.79
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $109.4
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $0.61
User PnL: $20.4

No position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $46
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$29.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $99.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $8.75

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $51.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $48.5
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 52.6%
Current value: $47.73
Potential payout: $90.75
Potential profit: $43.02
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$32.04

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $59.37
Potential payout: $61.9
Potential profit: $2.54
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.42

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $59.87
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $17.84

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $40.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $49.35
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $46.82
Potential payout: $47.01
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $9.05

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Implied probability: 52.6%
Current value: $21.04
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $18.96
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36.6
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.9

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $39.94
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $6.14

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $39.98
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $8.98

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Implied probability: 28.4%
Current value: $11.35
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $28.64
Multiplier: 3.52x
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $28.24
Potential payout: $35.08
Potential profit: $6.84
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $12.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.16

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.88

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.6

No position

Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.17

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.8

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.59

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.68

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.82

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.17

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.85

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the December meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.01

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.99

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.22

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $41.1

Yes position

Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.92

No position

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.12

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.06

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.62

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.95

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.57

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.3

No position

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?