Polymarket Trader

zuckm

0x9be629b1a53f0260f8482049c80503301ad12280

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $413.51
Realized PnL: $1.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $59.29
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$40.71

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $267.04
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $765.99
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $167.04

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.64
Potential profit: $367.64
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.88
Potential profit: $350.88
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.49
Potential profit: $318.49
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $52.41
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $204
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$47.59

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $194.18
Potential profit: $177.67
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$83.5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $18.27
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $174.04
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$31.73

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.17
Potential profit: $171.17
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.92
Potential profit: $90.92
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $80.65
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.24
Potential profit: $60.24
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.7
Potential profit: $59.7
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.17
Potential profit: $59.17
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.89
Potential profit: $58.89
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.59
Potential profit: $47.59
User PnL: -$14.24

Yes position

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $44.44
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.83
Potential profit: $37.83
User PnL: -$19.29

Yes position

Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.59
Potential profit: $37.59
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.06
Potential profit: $35.06
User PnL: -$19.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.86

No position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $117.46

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.57

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.5

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.91

Yes position

Trudeau out before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.82

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.2

No position

Israel strikes Syria by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.79

No position

Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?

Ends Apr 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Yes position

Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.28

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: October

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Down 51% 54.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Down 25% 3.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Down 30% 5.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Down 49% 18.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 41% 11.16 shares
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 36% 55.56 shares
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 15.8% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Up 36% 5.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Up 41% 22.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Up 51% 36.45 shares