Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$540.34
Polymarket Trader
elprophet
0x9bf69b0ccedd2756c90dcd8d3e08aa58d2bf77d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $767.31
- Realized PnL
- $1.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $268.27
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $47.19
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$305.66
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $971.41
- Potential profit
- $971.41
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $105.76
- Potential payout
- $846.09
- Potential profit
- $740.33
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$140.51
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $649.99
- Potential profit
- $649.99
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $589.99
- Potential profit
- $589.99
- User PnL
- -$208.6
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.05
- Potential profit
- $350.05
- User PnL
- -$39.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.91
- Potential profit
- $349.91
- User PnL
- -$132.37
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345.23
- Potential profit
- $345.23
- User PnL
- -$38.33
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $339.41
- Potential profit
- $339.41
- User PnL
- -$18.13
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.21
- Potential profit
- $323.21
- User PnL
- -$181
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $11.28
- Potential payout
- $259.99
- Potential profit
- $248.71
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $258.48
- Potential payout
- $258.48
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $225.31
Yes position
Will Solana reach $190 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.57
- Potential profit
- $255.57
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$4.33
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.82
- Potential profit
- $207.82
- User PnL
- -$114
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188
- Potential profit
- $188
- User PnL
- -$37.47
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.36
- Potential profit
- $182.36
- User PnL
- -$8.54
No position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$141.82
No position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$44.9
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144
- Potential profit
- $144
- User PnL
- -$11.33
Yes position
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.92
- Potential profit
- $142.92
- User PnL
- -$30.5
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $123.52
- Potential payout
- $141.16
- Potential profit
- $17.65
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $34.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.56
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.67
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.45
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.16
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.25
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.26
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.31
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $140 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.29
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.48
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.11
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.26
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $140 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.17
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.45
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on November 4?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.85
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.58
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 27?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $130 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.63
No position
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes 10% 20 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 18.9% 10 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 31% 30 shares
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
- Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes 4% 30 shares
- Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes 30% 20 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5% 30 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 32% 3.13 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 32% 20 shares
- AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes 7% 16 shares
- Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No 29% 30 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes 2.4% 34.63 shares