Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $356.06
- Potential payout
- $757.58
- Potential profit
- $401.52
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$143.94
Polymarket Trader
AllwinAllin
0x9bff9436f06f9184d142d76a5478b8bc4b6483a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $356.06
- Realized PnL
- -$261.76
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $576
- Potential profit
- $576
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.14
- Potential profit
- $223.14
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.25
- Potential profit
- $121.25
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $116.28
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.84
- Potential profit
- $77.84
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.46
- Potential profit
- $72.46
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.12
- Potential profit
- $60.12
- User PnL
- -$15.54
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.96
- Potential profit
- $21.96
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.23
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.29
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$10.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.04
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$137.47
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$164.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 66% 757.58 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 81.4% 715.28 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 105.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 26% 1,844.47 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 87% 105.75 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 96% 96.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 50% 554 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 7.4% 53.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 28% 976.89 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 94% 96.81 shares
- Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 28% 89.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46% 652.17 shares