No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.15
- Multiplier
- 5.08x
- User PnL
- -$30.15
Polymarket Trader
0x4A343AfcaE4A5d112db8191cd946940974618B6E-1778244112645
0x9c03cdbb6426e79cd2d044e53212307b3b300e66
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26
- Realized PnL
- $14.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $16.15
- Potential payout
- $16.85
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?No 80% 50 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 89% 16.85 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.1% 520 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.2% 520 shares
- Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 90 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 98.9% 40 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 98.6% 53 shares
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?Yes 4.1% 16 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 98.9% 20 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.6% 25 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 98.8% 10.6 shares
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?Yes 6.9% 16 shares