Polymarket Trader

thelittleone

@lilonelad

0x9c0acfb93eb4c70e1fe0d11a9624835d1eb22f51

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $831.68
Realized PnL: $1.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $388.07
Potential payout: $453.89
Potential profit: $65.81
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$11.93

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $140.45
Potential payout: $286.64
Potential profit: $146.19
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$59.54

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $198.78
Potential payout: $211.58
Potential profit: $12.8
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$1.22

No position

Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $63.22
Potential payout: $111.91
Potential profit: $48.69
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $52.22

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.81
Potential profit: $48.81
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $26.48
Potential payout: $46.88
Potential profit: $20.4
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$3.52

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.9%
Current value: $14.68
Potential payout: $46.08
Potential profit: $31.41
Multiplier: 3.14x
User PnL: $4.68

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $37.74
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.63
Potential profit: $12.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$6

Over position

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.88
Potential profit: $11.88
User PnL: -$6

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.01
Potential profit: $11.01
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.35
Potential profit: $10.35
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $9.68
User PnL: -$3

Over position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.87
Potential profit: $8.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$2

Under position

Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665.48

Yes position

Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.64

Yes position

Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.89

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.13

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.96

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.16

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.18

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.48

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.91

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.33

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.1

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.75

No position

Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.09

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.51

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.38

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.94

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-07-09?

36.1% 8.14 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 47% 10.64 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 39% 12.82 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Over 55% 9.09 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

No 51% 5.88 shares
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5

Over 38% 7.89 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 32% 6.25 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 20% 15 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Over 58% 17.24 shares
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5

Over 60% 5 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 54% 18.52 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 90% 333.33 shares