No position
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $11.72
- Potential payout
- $304.38
- Potential profit
- $292.66
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Polymarket Trader
franklyno
0x9c114982228228a5882233cf98fcc32e52cb847b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $211.49
- Realized PnL
- $213.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $9.65
- Potential payout
- $232.45
- Potential profit
- $222.8
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
No position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $179.74
- Potential profit
- $170.12
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
No position
Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $6.52
- Potential payout
- $144.83
- Potential profit
- $138.31
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.98
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $14.17
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $69.17
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $73.26
- Potential profit
- $69.41
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.67
No position
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $2.41
- Potential payout
- $66.94
- Potential profit
- $64.53
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$10.09
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $66.32
- Potential profit
- $57.37
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.67
- Potential profit
- $58.67
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $48.91
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.07
N
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $8.62
- Potential payout
- $46.6
- Potential profit
- $37.98
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $39.06
- Potential profit
- $20.31
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $34.2
- Potential profit
- $24.46
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $10.48
- Potential payout
- $33.8
- Potential profit
- $23.32
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.05
- Potential profit
- $32.05
- User PnL
- -$12.5
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.76
- Potential profit
- $29.76
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $12.08
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $15.69
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $16.85
- Potential payout
- $27.17
- Potential profit
- $10.33
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $13.54
- Potential payout
- $26.04
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $10.26
- Potential payout
- $25.96
- Potential profit
- $15.71
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
No position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $11.99
- Potential payout
- $25.51
- Potential profit
- $13.52
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $25.02
- Potential profit
- $22.89
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $12.63
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Another pandemic before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $12.63
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.63
No position
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
No position
Will Tom Vo advance from the CA-45 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
No position
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Trump ballroom project unblocked by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 9.8 shares
- Another pandemic before GTA VI?No 50% 25 shares
- Trump out as President before GTA VI?No 51% 24.51 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 50% 25 shares
- New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No 49% 25.51 shares
- Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?No 64.7% 19.33 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 48% 26.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 46% 27.17 shares
- Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 51.7% 24.16 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No 62.7% 19.95 shares
- Trump signs housing bill by end of July?No 48.1% 25.96 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?No 45% 27.78 shares