Polymarket Trader

MelissaPhillips6439

@AradiaBola42533

0x9c221a17da5fc0083ba778b89f2a640f962a50e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $646.2
Realized PnL: $955.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Mid-America Christian Evangels position

Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $345.5
Potential payout: $691
Potential profit: $345.5
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $193.48

Evansville Aces position

Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $512
Potential profit: $512
User PnL: -$117.76

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $496
Potential profit: $496
User PnL: -$332.32

Over position

FC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $473
Potential profit: $473
User PnL: -$191.09

No position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $169
Potential payout: $338
Potential profit: $169
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3.38

Al Najmah Saudi Club position

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $292
Potential profit: $292
User PnL: -$137.24

Yes position

Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $108
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $63.72

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Waddle?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.32
Potential profit: $105.32
User PnL: -$14.74

Yes position

Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $76
User PnL: -$6.84

Yes position

Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $11.39
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $5.61
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $3.74

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $8.31
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Al Hilal Saudi Club position

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.01

Yes position

Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47%
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $120.57

Yes position

Will "Russia" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.28

Yes position

Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.7

No position

Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.86

Yes position

Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.82

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.36

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.48

Yes position

Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $38.9

Yes position

Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10%
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $25.76

Yes position

Will Pau win?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.66

No position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.16

Yes position

Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.82

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang say "TSMC" during NVIDIA keynote?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.79

No position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.74

Yes position

Will Kevin Wilson be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.55

Yes position

Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $19.44

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.77

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.06

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.05

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $8.04

No position

Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02

No position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?

No 77.4% 366 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?

No 84.9% 366 shares
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?

No 83% 237 shares
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?

No 84% 237 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 49% 338 shares
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

No 65% 54 shares
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 63% 454 shares
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 63% 100 shares
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 59% 554 shares
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?

No 51% 81 shares
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

No 90% 526 shares
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

No 63% 54 shares