Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $30.19
- Potential payout
- $498.95
- Potential profit
- $468.76
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $9.26
Polymarket Trader
Lefernix
0x9c399f04e0731e2149fe57b203c7f0ad64fc7fbd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.12
- Realized PnL
- $533.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $8.72
- Potential payout
- $295.48
- Potential profit
- $286.76
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $249.16
- Potential profit
- $248.79
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$18.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $24.4
- Potential payout
- $147.89
- Potential profit
- $123.49
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $9.65
- Potential payout
- $64.11
- Potential profit
- $54.46
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $5.68
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $9.47
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $12.06
- Potential profit
- $10.25
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $3.82
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.92
Under position
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.55
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.98
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
Yes position
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.98
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Over position
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.34
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.08
Leandro Riedi position
Valencia: Juan Carlos Prado vs Leandro Riedi
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.83
Washington Nationals position
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Minnesota Twins position
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Andrey Rublev position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.65
Martin Landaluce position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.14
Susan Bandecchi position
Parma: Priscilla Hon vs Susan Bandecchi
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.07
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.91
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers position
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38
magic position
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?Yes 3.9% 26.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?No 99.5% 26.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?Yes 3% 10.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?Yes 29% 3.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?Yes 34% 3.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?Yes 3.3% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?Yes 3.1% 33.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?Yes 41% 4.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 3?Yes 20% 6.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 3?Yes 19% 5.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?Yes 7.7% 140.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 3?Yes 19% 5.53 shares