No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$260.99
Polymarket Trader
0x9c3bBAED79c54748e66532f507DA5026ABF16B17-1768826696955
0x9c3bbaed79c54748e66532f507da5026abf16b17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $502.58
- Realized PnL
- $1.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $289.66
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $10.35
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $100.65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $74.31
- Potential payout
- $166.99
- Potential profit
- $92.68
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $14.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $14.7
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $125.3
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$13.3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $104.69
- Potential payout
- $135.96
- Potential profit
- $31.27
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $33.99
Yes position
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.95
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $14.18
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $30.83
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$12.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $232.53
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $144.58
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.56
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.83
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.4
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.69
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.72
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.7
No position
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.67
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.5
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.8% 50 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No 71% 200 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No 72% 200 shares
- Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?No 1.1% 20 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 73% 70 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 74% 70 shares
- Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?No 84.3% 60 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No 78% 199.99 shares
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes 12.2% 50 shares
- Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?Yes 0.4% 100 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 4.9% 4.63 shares
- Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?No 80% 20 shares