Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $205.2
- Potential payout
- $586.29
- Potential profit
- $381.09
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$86.18
Polymarket Trader
Mrxrp
0x9c4aa66653cfdc5b680f62d81ad050442c2a7fca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $731.05
- Realized PnL
- $81.13
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Arcium launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Ends Oct 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $170.81
- Potential payout
- $171.67
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- User PnL
- $11.04
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $29
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $71
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $35
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $96.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Arcium launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $39.44
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Will Arcium launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $36.25
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $2.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.99
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.12
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.17
Yes position
Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.04
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.8
Yes position
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.27
No position
Mezo FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
No position
R2 FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Mezo FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Chinese Taipei position
First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Yes position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.8
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$28.4
Yes position
OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Arcium launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 94% 36.67 shares
- Will Arcium launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 94.1% 36.36 shares
- Will Arcium launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 92.8% 135 shares
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 92.2% 23.98 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 57% 45.6 shares
- OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 83% 168.22 shares
- OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 82% 24.68 shares
- OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 80% 8.87 shares
- OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 82% 29.71 shares
- OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 82% 76.99 shares
- OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 81% 24.66 shares
- Mezo FDV above $400M one day after launch?No 99.1% 214.15 shares