Polymarket Trader

3333333333433

0x9c5ad9beeeb3f384dff02e3fbce7f6e758b9c318

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.85K
Realized PnL: $935.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $131.63
Potential payout: $37.61K
Potential profit: $37.48K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $94.02

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.12K
Potential profit: $16.12K
User PnL: -$16.12

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $12.96
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Will "Jake Bell" win Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theatre at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$73.11

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Will Trump say "Farmer" during Small Business Summit?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $742.1
Potential profit: $742.1
User PnL: -$24.86

No position

Will "1/52 Project" win Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theatre at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $682.74
Potential profit: $682.74
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$10.95

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.13
Potential profit: $59.13
User PnL: -$10.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $226.87

No position

Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.89

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.12

Yes position

Over 600 US flights cancelled on March 25?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.02

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.04

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.66

Yes position

Will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit 2600 (HIGH) in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.37

No position

Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

Yes position

Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

No position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

No position

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47

No position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

No position

Will Trump say "Affair" this week? (March 22)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

No position

Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Japanese PM?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 99.2% 500 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 99.2% 400 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 99.2% 100 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 99.5% 2,728.07 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

No 99.9% 2,706.27 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 98.4% 2,557.71 shares
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Yes 99.9% 66.6 shares
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

No 99.8% 188.91 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Yes 99.9% 188.55 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

Yes 1% 120 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

Yes 1% 850 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

Yes 1% 2,962 shares