No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Polymarket Trader
rotPanVaced
0x9c5e37be4f3a9cd6f4b5b10c6959905c2a66e9f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.96
- Realized PnL
- $2.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Coinbase say "Stablecoin" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Brevis FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.7% 5.01 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.7% 1.6 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.7% 5.01 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes 95.8% 1.14 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.7% 5.01 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1.09 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.9% 4.99 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes 99.1% 5.04 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes 98.9% 2.3 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes 98.9% 2.3 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes 98.8% 1.1 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes 98% 1.11 shares