Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $10.93K
- Potential profit
- $9.89K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$929.02
Polymarket Trader
yfNUb2Rff
0x9c5ed7617997c5856768bf17ea9e0039ea77de25
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.9K
- Realized PnL
- $4.73K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $8.7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$304.34
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25K
- Potential profit
- $6.25K
- User PnL
- -$3K
Yes position
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.83K
- Potential profit
- $4.83K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- User PnL
- -$416.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $94.23
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$155.77
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.62
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$406.44
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $69.45
- Potential payout
- $182.76
- Potential profit
- $113.31
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$30.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.54
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.21
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.28
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.78
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Elaine Culotti advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Sean OMalley position
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sean OMalley 78% 384.62 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 21% 1,904.76 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis 21% 1,428.57 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 16% 2,600.44 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 48% 6,250 shares
- Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Yes 2.1% 4,829.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 43% 2,325.58 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 23% 8,695.65 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Yes 2.6% 1,172.68 shares
- Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 81% 617.28 shares
- Will Elaine Culotti advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 99.4% 201.2 shares
- Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 99.3% 100.7 shares