No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.9%
- Current value
- $190.91
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $34.09
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$16.09
Polymarket Trader
Brady2024
0x9c5f8f7636483b091040ed9663b3c9bc94bb59b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $196.34
- Realized PnL
- $5.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.61
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $130.3
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.89
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.69
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Ethereum all time high in May?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 92% 225 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No 96.6% 99.96 shares
- Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No 96.8% 6 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 95% 5 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 78% 5 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 91% 6 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 91.5% 6 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 92.6% 6 shares
- Epstein suicide note released by May 31?No 92% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 6 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 81% 6 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.6% 6 shares