Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $61.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $238.5
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
mythly
0x9c69cb4ee3f62f4dada9d0a422c56a600e6127ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $83.69
- Realized PnL
- $18.9
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $199.98
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $6.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.35
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$14.35
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Up position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.83
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.23
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.68
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.76
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.4%
- Current value
- $6.24
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.46
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?Yes 24% 100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 8% 200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 39% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?Yes 15% 50 shares