No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $25.14
- Potential payout
- $27.17
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Polymarket Trader
0x9c6B3d7b113123Ec1b1Ce642677806202ed4E2f2-1738995360188
0x9c6b3d7b113123ec1b1ce642677806202ed4e2f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.42
- Realized PnL
- -$1.59
- Win rate
- 76.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Solana above $130 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 92% 27.17 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No 99% 22.77 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No 96.6% 22.77 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 66% 1.56 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 80% 21.73 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 92% 9.78 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 92% 11.96 shares
- Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No 78% 1.28 shares
- House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Yes 90% 5.56 shares
- Will the government shutdown end November 12?Yes 95% 1.05 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 64% 1.56 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No 96.5% 10.31 shares