husobangbasher

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $79.11
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$180.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $548.3
Potential profit: $548.3
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $468.2
Potential profit: $468.2
User PnL: -$327.21

Yes position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $31.85
Potential payout: $398.1
Potential profit: $366.25
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$118.15

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.51
Potential profit: $298.51
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.86
Potential profit: $242.86
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $5.17
Potential payout: $229.89
Potential profit: $224.71
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$14.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.61
Potential profit: $182.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.72
Potential profit: $87.72
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.69
Potential profit: $69.69
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.27
Potential profit: $42.27
User PnL: -$2.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.11
Potential profit: $32.11
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.5
Potential profit: $25.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.08
Potential profit: $9.08
User PnL: -$1.02

Up position

GameStop (GME) Up or Down After Earnings?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.81
Potential profit: $2.81
User PnL: -$1.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $888.57

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.53

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.94

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.77

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.71

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET