Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $22.18
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$62.82
Polymarket Trader
0x9C93f426377223dE202ed9e2e05517ccB0335Aed-1768929342291
0x9c93f426377223de202ed9e2e05517ccb0335aed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.35
- Realized PnL
- $182.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $561.64
- Potential profit
- $561.64
- User PnL
- -$173
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $61.84
- Potential payout
- $353.36
- Potential profit
- $291.52
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $8.62
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $224.79
- Potential profit
- $223.78
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.79
- Potential profit
- $119.79
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $12.28
- Potential payout
- $70.2
- Potential profit
- $57.91
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$17.72
Yes position
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$12.8
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.01
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $27.29
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.37
- Potential profit
- $18.37
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.32
- Potential profit
- $14.32
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.46
- Potential profit
- $13.46
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.67
- Potential profit
- $11.67
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.67
- Potential profit
- $11.67
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.38
- Potential profit
- $10.38
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.84
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $16.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.86
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 48%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will Trump post "Hungary" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Yes 16% 80 shares
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Yes 16% 20 shares
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Yes 14% 8.65 shares
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Yes 14% 140 shares
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Yes 16% 80 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes 85% 30 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes 69% 30 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No 13% 76.92 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No 83% 26.25 shares