Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $10.27K
- Potential payout
- $162.96K
- Potential profit
- $152.69K
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$3.36K
Polymarket Trader
muxuebingcheng311
0x9c96213c44294885c6849ef0d7d0bad44c108708
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.26K
- Realized PnL
- -$3.83K
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.88K
- Potential profit
- $65.88K
- User PnL
- -$1.61K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.36K
- Potential profit
- $63.36K
- User PnL
- -$11.88K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.68K
- Potential profit
- $52.68K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.75K
- Potential payout
- $27.79K
- Potential profit
- $24.04K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.05K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.99K
- Potential profit
- $15.99K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58K
- Potential profit
- $6.58K
- User PnL
- -$807.66
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- User PnL
- -$104.84
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.74K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $50.15
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$51.85
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $186.6
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $23.11
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $901.89
- Potential profit
- $901.89
- User PnL
- -$6.31
Yes position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $793.84
- Potential profit
- $793.84
- User PnL
- -$659.1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $278.97
- Potential profit
- $278.97
- User PnL
- -$16.74
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $5.54
- Potential payout
- $69.28
- Potential profit
- $63.74
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $762.21
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $134.48
Yes position
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.62
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.17
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.23
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$66.1
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.95K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.82K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.2% 72,806.52 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.1% 6,507.75 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.3% 20,514.93 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 13.9% 100 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8.8% 2,565.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 5.9% 10,316.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.5% 137,843.06 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 5% 31,051.07 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.6% 51,053.17 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Yes 9% 635 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.2% 120,095.23 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.5% 10,628.35 shares