Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $375.48
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$30.5
Polymarket Trader
pink.impala
0x9c976cfe2b51a92f9cc6ab889f30d16426f84569
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.29K
- Realized PnL
- $11.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $194.41
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$24.66
Yes position
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $15.7
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$152.48
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$64.28
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $256.67
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$35.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $145.75
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $22.49
Yes position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $996.5
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $16.24
- Potential payout
- $984.22
- Potential profit
- $967.98
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.2%
- Current value
- $116.4
- Potential payout
- $768.34
- Potential profit
- $651.94
- Multiplier
- 6.60x
- User PnL
- $9.84
Yes position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $12.47
- Potential payout
- $733.81
- Potential profit
- $721.34
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $73.56
- Potential payout
- $651
- Potential profit
- $577.44
- Multiplier
- 8.85x
- User PnL
- -$9.81
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Current value
- $35.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $364.6
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- $19.4
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $21.44
- Potential payout
- $164.92
- Potential profit
- $143.48
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$17.6
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $16.83
- Potential profit
- $16.73
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $4.2
- Potential profit
- $3.36
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $560.28
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.18
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $498.45
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.61
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.03
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.16
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $343.11
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $342.1
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $328.73
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $317.29
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $271.04
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.04
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.76
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.9
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.6
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.17
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $158.19
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $157.91
No position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $155
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.5% 31.27 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?Yes 12.9% 400 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?Yes 12.7% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?Yes 12.5% 51 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 721.14 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.8% 420 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.7% 252 shares
- Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes 0.5% 16.83 shares
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 1.4% 733.81 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 1.1% 519.98 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 1.5% 90 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 1.5% 90 shares