No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $32.25K
- Potential payout
- $39.57K
- Potential profit
- $7.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.88K
Polymarket Trader
Moonshot1019
0x9c987f84d18a4dd640909409b31212fbb805f4f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.25K
- Realized PnL
- $50.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13K
- Potential profit
- $16.13K
- User PnL
- -$9.7K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.19K
- Potential profit
- $12.19K
- User PnL
- -$9.5K
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.39K
- Potential profit
- $11.39K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.89K
- Potential profit
- $9.89K
- User PnL
- -$7.46K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.58K
- Potential profit
- $9.58K
- User PnL
- -$7.15K
No position
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.1K
- Potential profit
- $8.1K
- User PnL
- -$3.5K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.04K
- Potential profit
- $8.04K
- User PnL
- -$4.46K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $7.62K
- Potential profit
- $7.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.51K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.81K
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
No position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.49K
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $511.4
- Potential profit
- $511.4
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409.99
- Potential profit
- $409.99
- User PnL
- -$192.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $938.86
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $924.27
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.85
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.36
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.35
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.32
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.92
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 69% 144.93 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 149.25 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 59% 338.98 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 58% 172.41 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 85% 750 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 92% 10,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 95% 8,100 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 95.8% 267.86 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 56% 4,720.51 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 54.9% 3,314.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 7,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.8% 6,166.29 shares