Polymarket Trader

macanga

0x9ca52beaebdce932d4adbbe4ed90da65f1f3ee30

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.79K
Realized PnL: $1.26K
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $6.55K
Potential payout: $7.08K
Potential profit: $531.04
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $547.93
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $3.85K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$152.06

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $658.16
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $2.74K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $158.17

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.3%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $2.07K
Multiplier: 3.01x
User PnL: $532.61

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.79K
User PnL: -$1.03K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$22.95

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$125

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 1,459.85 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 4,464.28 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.7% 3,401.36 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 3,105.59 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 2,941.18 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.2% 4,464.29 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 57% 1,731.65 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 43% 2,295.45 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 44% 2,295.45 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 64% 5,348.84 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Yes 59.3% 1,024.53 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Yes 55.4% 766.11 shares

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