Polymarket Trader

0x9cA639b0F4c3fa723F11dE020C38582221100620-1777254611345

0x9ca639b0f4c3fa723f11de020c38582221100620

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $97.85
Realized PnL: $40.96
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$36.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$34.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.65
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$6.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $21.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $78.3
Multiplier: 4.61x
User PnL: -$10.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 73.8%
Current value: $73.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $26.2
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $23.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.27
Potential profit: $14.27
User PnL: -$14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 50.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 32.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 9% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET

Up 98% 18.37 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?

No 99.2% 25.2 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?

No 99.8% 21.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10PM ET

Down 99.4% 15.09 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?

Yes 99.8% 21.04 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?

Yes 99.9% 23.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET

Up 99.8% 13.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET

Down 99% 15.15 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

No 96.1% 13.53 shares