Polymarket Trader

0x9cAC70082a1e20CD601259269A51A45f830b1c16-1762137064081

0x9cac70082a1e20cd601259269a51a45f830b1c16

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.09K
Realized PnL: $557.63
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $3.1K
User PnL: -$452.6

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$97.45

No position

Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $599.99
User PnL: -$87

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422.79
Potential profit: $422.79
User PnL: -$99.32

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.88
Potential profit: $404.88
User PnL: -$248.88

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$139.2

No position

Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.06
Potential profit: $305.06
User PnL: -$244.05

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$11.1

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$70

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5.93

Yes position

House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.64
Potential profit: $46.64
User PnL: -$20.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

No position

Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.5

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.62

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

No position

EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.06

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $16

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.35

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.84

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.95

No position

USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.02

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 90.6% 100.93 shares
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Yes 5% 39.6 shares
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 3% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Down 23.5% 419.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Down 57% 23.78 shares
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 85.7% 99.93 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 13?

Up 74% 200 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6?

Down 94% 74.64 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Yes 69% 115.7 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 0.1% 491.26 shares
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 99% 505.52 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

Up 16% 200 shares