No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $327.31
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- -$590.95
Polymarket Trader
ihazpenguin808
0x9cb7340d5a0b4144ff3b1e928ccd59abd20f2cbd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $427.31
- Realized PnL
- $788.21
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $809.09
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Rayan: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.9
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.73
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $172.74
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.8
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.65
No position
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.12
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.32
Over position
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.76
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will England win?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$183.3
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 11% 909.09 shares
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver 51% 58.85 shares
- Rayan: 1+ goalsYes 27% 37.04 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 76% 526.32 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 35% 575.86 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 26.6% 1,498 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 61.3% 2,996.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 51% 1,122.61 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 97.8% 501.14 shares
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Yes 96% 703.67 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes 1.5% 1,113.45 shares
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Yes 27.8% 292.51 shares