Polymarket Trader

bloodmoney64

0x9cb7f4f916c70c1f80c3118edf9adbfbebe3d9b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.68K
Realized PnL: $2.23K
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.93K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $115
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.89K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $325
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.68K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $199.5
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $6.8K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.92K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $132.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.87K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $47.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $475
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.52K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$114.98

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $283.29
Potential payout: $4.84K
Potential profit: $4.56K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $205.86

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $198
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.8K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $185.32
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $14.32

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $117.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $882.5
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $17.5

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $73.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $926.5
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $153.75
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $679.58
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $53.75

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $442.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $102.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $397.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $190
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $918.97

Yes position

Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.83

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.89

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Netanyahu out by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.55

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.79

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.5

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Aiemann Zahabi position

UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 10% 719.61 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 19?

No 76% 92 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.9% 2,000 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 19?

No 1% 40 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 19?

Yes 1.4% 349.86 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 0.4% 1,275 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 1% 589.81 shares
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.1% 5,000 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.9% 2,000 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8% 10,000 shares