Polymarket Trader

Giorgio2

0x9cb98fc57fe8a3bdf75c3b48bd419e5d262f7b80

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $20.83K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $4.33K
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $269.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $54.17

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $3.77K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $226
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $40

No position

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $3K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: $36.16

Yes position

Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $90.53
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$26.28

Yes position

Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $43.9
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$39.45

Yes position

Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $13.66
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$77.38

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: $83.25

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $386.76
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: -$195.19

No position

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $71.48
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $84.48

No position

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $131.25
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $88.14

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $195.03
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $805.13
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$16.55

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $125
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $475.13
Potential payout: $905
Potential profit: $429.88
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $196.58

Yes position

Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $104.04
Potential payout: $904.71
Potential profit: $800.67
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$27.31

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $483.98
Potential payout: $799.96
Potential profit: $315.98
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$1.94

No position

Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $656.25
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $93.75
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $43.56

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $446.24
Potential payout: $749.99
Potential profit: $303.75
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$8.75

No position

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $702.2
Potential payout: $745.04
Potential profit: $42.84
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $53.86

Yes position

Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $41.29
Potential payout: $635.24
Potential profit: $593.95
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $4.05

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $294.12
Potential payout: $549.75
Potential profit: $255.63
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$30.57

No position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $61.96
Potential payout: $516.31
Potential profit: $454.35
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$15.49

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $115.01
Potential payout: $500.04
Potential profit: $385.03
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$11.05

No position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $442.51
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $57.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $21.7
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $478.31
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $5.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

No one announced as next James Bond?

Yes 98.3% 249.98 shares
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 13% 40 shares
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 13% 40 shares
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

No 98.4% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 1,000.17 shares
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

No 96.2% 415.36 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No 96.5% 1,000 shares
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

No 94% 200 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.3% 500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 98.9% 500 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?

No 95% 9.33 shares
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

No 81% 346.62 shares