Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$80.69
Polymarket Trader
megabob6969
0x9cbb6b8b750c7f62d74aac56b386d6190997dab4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $282.2
- Realized PnL
- $287.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$19.35
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $48.25
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$79.67
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $18.56
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$114.44
Yes position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $547.64
- Potential profit
- $546.82
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$16.24
Luca Van Assche position
Grand Prix Hassan II: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luca Van Assche
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $456.48
- Potential profit
- $456.48
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $33.5
- Potential payout
- $446.67
- Potential profit
- $413.17
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $434.37
- Potential profit
- $433.28
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$53.91
Yes position
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.53
- Potential profit
- $206.53
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $18.94
- Potential payout
- $177
- Potential profit
- $158.06
- Multiplier
- 9.35x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $7.3
- Potential payout
- $146
- Potential profit
- $138.7
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$51.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.44
- Potential profit
- $144.44
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $103.73
- Potential payout
- $128.14
- Potential profit
- $24.41
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $3.73
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $20.95
- Potential payout
- $104.75
- Potential profit
- $83.8
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $6.48
Yes position
Will Aquila Basket Trento win Serie A?
Ends Dec 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Suns position
Suns vs. Hornets
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.31
- Potential profit
- $94.31
- User PnL
- -$22.58
Yes position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.52
- Potential profit
- $67.52
- User PnL
- -$8.1
O 81.5 position
Will the Kansas City Royals win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $11.3
- Potential payout
- $64.59
- Potential profit
- $53.28
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.77
- Potential profit
- $63.77
- User PnL
- -$9.52
O 80.5 position
Will the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $16.92
- Potential payout
- $61.53
- Potential profit
- $44.61
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$7.08
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.01
- Potential profit
- $61.01
- User PnL
- -$6.18
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $60.2
- Potential profit
- $59.36
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
New York Yankees position
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.76
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.06
Lightning position
Penguins vs. Lightning
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.47
Under position
Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.58
Valencia position
Valencia vs. Olympiacos B.C.
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Blue Jackets position
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.96
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.48
Senators position
Sabres vs. Senators
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.99
Jazmin Ortenzi position
Copa Colsanitas: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Julia Riera
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.51
Lakers position
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.51
Oilers position
Blackhawks vs. Oilers
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.38
Pistons position
Timberwolves vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.14
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
Over position
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
Yes position
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10.5B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
Bucks position
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
Yes position
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Over position
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Purdue Boilermakers position
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Kansas City Royals win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 81.5 18.6% 64.59 shares
- Will the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 80.5 38.3% 31.33 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Yes 7% 33.36 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 333.33 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 333.33 shares
- Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 74.5 67% 17.91 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 9.6% 313.91 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 30 shares
- Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 78.5 48% 13.54 shares
- Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 65.5 37.2% 24.5 shares
- Will the Texas Rangers win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 80.5 52.2% 22.97 shares
- Will the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 80.5 39.7% 30.2 shares