Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $33K
- Potential profit
- $31.57K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $34.12
Polymarket Trader
slothtrader
0x9cd1451d67a00c3867bc1da81a4a4374b9341eb0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.66K
- Realized PnL
- $2.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $280.58
- Potential payout
- $15.17K
- Potential profit
- $14.89K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $21.28
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $817.5
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.18K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $133.61
- Potential payout
- $12.72K
- Potential profit
- $12.59K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$99.05
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$46.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.77
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.46
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.32
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-03-29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.69
Lorenzo Sonego position
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.4
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.14
Yes position
Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.66
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.64
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.49
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.59
Knicks position
Knicks vs. 76ers
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.6
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.58
Pistons position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
Yes position
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-06?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.22
Spurs position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.64
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.07
Yes position
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.33
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.81
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.52
Celtics position
Raptors vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.96
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.45
Ben Shelton position
Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.99
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.61
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 1.7% 14,249.39 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 8% 40 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 8% 20 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2.1% 942.68 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 5 shares
- Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.3% 15.09 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 46% 200 shares
- Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 500 shares
- Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 500 shares
- Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 500 shares
- Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 10 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No 52.8% 100 shares