Robbb

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $15.79K
Potential profit: $14.66K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $142.98

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.12K
Potential profit: $9.12K
User PnL: -$497.96

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $820.44
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $7.68K
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $333.02

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69K
Potential profit: $7.69K
User PnL: -$4.21K

Yes position

Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $6.68K
Potential payout: $6.79K
Potential profit: $105.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $85.36

No position

Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.71K
Potential profit: $6.71K
User PnL: -$186.68

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $283.14
Potential payout: $5.61K
Potential profit: $5.32K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $65.85

Yes position

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.14K
Potential profit: $5.14K
User PnL: -$394.44

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.33K
Potential profit: $4.33K
User PnL: -$1.13K

Yes position

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $3.97K
User PnL: -$642.48

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $3.88K
Potential profit: $2.81K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.38K

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.87K
Potential profit: $3.87K
User PnL: -$29.52

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $3.27K
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $410.29
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $948.93

Yes position

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.66K
Potential profit: $3.66K
User PnL: -$43.37

Yes position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.32K
Potential profit: $3.32K
User PnL: -$918.95

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $156.67
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $39.51

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $129.8
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $39.45

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $12.52
User PnL: $346.14

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$965.59

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $361.06
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $54.71

Yes position

Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$1.29K

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $110.68
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $40.19

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.79K
User PnL: -$89.68

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$120.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.35K

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.27K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89K

Yes position

Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

Yes position

Will the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?

Ends Apr 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Pakistan strikes Kabul by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Implied probability: 9.8%
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?