No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Polymarket Trader
BoB
0x9ce033222e32e3ed4b0552ee06dc04982ccdb2ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $716.62
- Realized PnL
- $7.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $155
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $845
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$23.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $989.5
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $992.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $24.07
- Potential payout
- $908.22
- Potential profit
- $884.15
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $8.55
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $117
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $483
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$41
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $19.37
- Potential payout
- $446.28
- Potential profit
- $426.92
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.65
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$28.65
Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.35
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.98
- Potential profit
- $299.98
- User PnL
- -$13.88
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $249.51
- Potential payout
- $299.35
- Potential profit
- $49.84
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $19.44
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $196.7
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $87
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $113
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$13.48
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $16.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $183.7
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.93
- Potential profit
- $199.93
- User PnL
- -$25.99
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $195.23
- Potential profit
- $192.2
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Current value
- $14.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $85.45
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- $8.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $955.99
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $821.48
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.69
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.39
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
Y
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022?
Ends Apr 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.23
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.01
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.7
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.8
No position
Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $223.2
Yes position
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2689573.79x
- User PnL
- $221.17
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.5
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.3
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.99
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.47
No position
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182
Yes position
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.36
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.22
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141
No position
Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.68
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes 15% 993.63 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.4% 1,000 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No 75.2% 33.89 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 300 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 99% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 87% 100 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.2% 1,000 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 27.4% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 2% 600 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No 81% 10 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 2.8% 400 shares