Polymarket Trader

sherlockholmes

0x9ce2e85deccd90f0548a1170dde53096b6485f90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $100.27
Realized PnL: $3.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325.05
Potential profit: $325.05
User PnL: -$5.85

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$116.25

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $23.2
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $198.8
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $3.22

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $77.07
Potential payout: $108.56
Potential profit: $31.48
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.73
Potential profit: $82.73
User PnL: -$3.95

Yes position

Will Rick Caruso finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.67
Potential profit: $49.67
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Monica Rodriguez finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.67
Potential profit: $49.67
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Adam Miller finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.67
Potential profit: $49.67
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Rae Huang finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.67
Potential profit: $49.67
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Austin Beutner finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.67
Potential profit: $49.67
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Gina Viola finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.67
Potential profit: $49.67
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Lindsey Horvath finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.67
Potential profit: $49.67
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Asaad Alnajjar finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.67
Potential profit: $49.67
User PnL: -$1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $319.32

No position

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.8

No position

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.79

Miami Hurricanes position

Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $188.47

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.45

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.25

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $149.51

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.16

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.5

No position

Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.31

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

No position

Will FedEx say "E-commerce / Ecommerce" during earnings call?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.73

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.42

Texas Longhorns position

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.24

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.1

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.4

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.23

Yes position

Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.8

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77

No position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.6

Yes position

Will None in 2025 occur?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 93% 41.66 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Yes 47% 113 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Yes 47% 12 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 9% 222 shares
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.8% 150 shares
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

No 21% 200 shares
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 7.1% 33.06 shares
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 71% 200 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 399.99 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 124.93 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?

Yes 4% 30 shares
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?

No 8% 52.93 shares